Tonight we are looking at the area around the New Madrid Fault Line commonly referred to as the breadbasket and Bible belt of America.
I have seen reported FEMA drills of an earthquake. This is true and below find excerpts from the report. There is nothing hidden. Review of the report will reveal the estimates of deaths and damages when this event occurs. This will be a horrific event and it appears to me things are being put into place to accommodate the shocked survivors.I am sure they are prepared to build new bridges right away, they are prepared to build everything brand new for the planned, New Super Port.
You can see the report below.
For the people in this area that have not relocated, here are some vids for you to look at. Consider your safety and life.
The beginning of this one is interesting as it shows older data with sinkholes and quakes in other places. If I knew how to edit this, I would take the first of this one and put it with current sinkhole.
Earthquakes and the New Madrid Fault Line
Seismic activity, maps, information
Each unit of the Richter Scale is a tenfold increase in the relative size of an earthquake. A magnitude 6.0 is ten times the size of a magnitude 5.0, and one hundred times the size of a 4.0. But energy release is a different matter. A magnitude 6.0 releases 32 times more energythan a magnitude 5.0, and about one thousand times more energy than a magnitude 4.0 --CERI
The Granddaddy Quake - Feb. 1812
New Madrid 7.7 Quake Scenario
Phase two comes up with $300 billion in direct economic loss. That's three times the worst case of phase one figures. Other phase two figures: Nearly 715,000 damaged buildings, 2.6 million households without electric power, nearly 86,000 total casualties with 3,500 fatalities for the 2 a.m. scenario event.
We wish for a database that would show these estimates for just YOUR COUNTY. Things like ... how many hospital beds will be back to operation in 1, 3, 7, 30 days. How many single-family dwellings will have moderate / significant / total damage? Functionality of police and fire stations, airports? Will your school be usable as a mass shelter? How many homes will have potable water restored within how many days? PowerPoint of individual state damage
Illinois' 40 critical counties have 1.3 million total population. 51,000 would be displaced, and 15,000 would be seeking shelter.
|Even one magnitude 7.7 quake in the Midwest would have significant implications for the entire country for years. Please read the (phase 1) report, at http://hdl.handle.net/2142/8971 The main report is a 2 megabyte download. The full report is 74 meg.|
They've divided the New Madrid zone into THREE PARTS, and estimated a different fault rupture for each state; sort of a "worst case scenario".
Remember that a "big one" on the NMSZ would likely be a series of quakes, over a few months, on different sections of the fault. There are actually about seven sections to the NMSZ.
The maps below show areas of probable worst building damage. The scenario is DIFFERENT for each state's possible damage. Don't "add them together."
The Wabash Valley Seismic Zone (WVSZ) in southern Illinois and southeast Indiana and the East Tennessee Seismic Zone in eastern Tennessee and northeastern Alabama constitute significant risk of moderate-to-severe earthquakes throughout the central region of the USA.
The results indicate that the State of Tennessee incurs the highest level of damage and social impacts. Over 250,000 buildings are moderately or more severely damaged, over 260,000 people are displaced and well over 60,000 casualties (injuries and fatalities) are expected. Total direct economic losses surpass $56 billion.
The State of Missouri also incurs substantial damage and loss, though estimates are less than those in Tennessee. Well over 80,000 buildings are damaged leaving more than 120,000 people displaced and causing over 15,000 casualties. Total direct economic losses in Missouri reach nearly $40 billion.
Kentucky and Illinois also incur significant losses with total direct economic losses reaching approximately $45 and $35 billion, respectively.
The State of Arkansas incurs nearly $19 billion in direct economic loss while the State of Mississippi incurs $9.5 billion in direct economic losses. States such as Indiana and Alabama experience limited damage and loss from NMSZ events with approximately $1.5 and $1.0 billion, respectively.
Noting that experience confirms that the indirect economic loss due to business interpretation and loss of market share, amongst other features, is at least as high if not much higher than the direct economic losses, the total economic impact of a series of NMSZ earthquakes is likely to constitute by far the highest economic loss due to a natural disaster in the USA.
A southwest NMSZ event affects the major population center of Memphis, TN, and leaves nearly 265,000 people displaced and over 63,000 people injured or killed. A southwest segment event could leave up to 500,000 people without homes and could injure 150,000 people across the entire NMSZ area. Up to 100,000 people may need temporary public shelter, which would require several million MREs (meals ready to eat) for the first week alone. In addition, over one million gallons of water and as many as ten million pounds of ice may be needed for a NMSZ event.
Substantial losses in Tennessee, Kentucky, Arkansas, northwestern Mississippi and southeastern Missouri would likely generate over $100 billion in direct economic losses. A large portion of these losses would be due to utility lifeline losses with building losses contributing a significant portion as well. A northeast segment event, however, would impact southern Illinois as well as parts of Missouri and Kentucky. Economic losses caused by a northeast segment effect, while likely to be less than a southwest segment event, would result in total losses possibly reaching $75 billion in direct economic losses.
Critical infrastructure and lifelines will also be heavily damaged and will be out of service after the earthquake for a considerable period of time. Such mass outages are likely to affect a region much larger than the 8 states studied above. Many hospitals nearest to the rupture zone will not be able to care for patients, indicating that those injured during the event will have to be transported outside of the region for medical care. Moreover, pre-earthquake patients will have to be moved out of the area to fully functioning hospitals. It is doubtful that the transportation system will be functioning to a level that allows such mass evacuation. Police and fire services will be severely impaired due to damage to stations throughout the impacted region. Many schools that serve as public shelter will be damaged and unusable after the earthquake.
MAE Center Report No. 08-02
Mid-America Earthquake Center
Civil and Environmental Engineering Department
University of Illinois
Urbana, Illinois 61801, USA
Tel 217 244 6302, aelnash at uiuc.edu
Major Quake in U.S. Midwest Might Kill 6,000, Study Estimates
Nov. 21, 2008 (Bloomberg) -- A major Midwestern earthquake may cause 6,000 deaths and $450 billion in damage, while disrupting oil and gas supplies, a U.S. government-sponsored study said.
Tennessee and Missouri would suffer the brunt of the destruction from a 7.7-magnitude earthquake along the New Madrid Seismic Zone, where more than 3,000 temblors have occurred since 1974, according to the report from the Urbana, Illinois-based Mid-America Earthquake Center. A quake of about that force devastated the region almost 200 years ago, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.
“All those who worked on this project already feel this would be the worst natural disaster in the history of the U.S.,” said Amr Elnashai, principal investigator and a civil engineering professor at the University of Illinois Urbana- Champaign, by telephone.
There is a 90 percent chance that an earthquake of magnitude 6 or 7 will strike the area in the next 50 years, said the study, which was released yesterday.
Eight states in the Midwest and South are vulnerable to major earthquakes, including Mississippi, Alabama and Indiana, according to the study, which was funded by the Federal Emergency Management Agency and the Army Corps of Engineers.
The New Madrid zone runs from southern Illinois to northern Arkansas and includes Memphis, with a population of about 670,900, according to U.S. Census Bureau estimates.
There is a 90 percent chance that an earthquake of magnitude 6 or 7 will strike the area in the next 50 years, the study says.
Elnashai said earthquakes of equal magnitude would be felt over a larger area in the New Madrid zone than in California because of the composition of the soil.
Many buildings in the area couldn't withstand the force of such an earthquake, Elnashai said. While some of the major bridges over the Mississippi and other rivers might hold up, they would still sink into the ground when it liquefied after the tremor.
There are 15 nuclear power plants in the regions covered by the study, Elnashai said.
Hospitals closest to the epicenter would be unusable, meaning the injured would have to be taken to neighboring states if they could be evacuated, the report said. Bridges, airports and ferries would be damaged and pipelines and electric transmission grids knocked out.
“Damage to major natural gas and oil transmission lines will lead to service interruptions that will affect areas as far away as the East Coast and New England,” the report said.
New Madrid Fault poses grave dangers to Missouri and region, FEMA report warns
Feature Presentation: A Trip For You!
...this is brendasue signing off from Rainbow Creek. See You next time!
Of Course, one more great performance
To my friends that are investigating and creating vids on the 'Tube:
The following great report is alarming to me, but I do not understand it all. I have not verified this and hope some of you will check this out. Thanx-